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Table 3 Inflection points in the temporal trends of morbidity and mortality indicators for covid-19 among people aged 60 years or older. Brazil, 2020–22

From: Effect of vaccination against Covid-19 one year after its introduction in Brazil

Indicators

Joinpoint

EW/Year

Duration in weeks

WPC

95% IC

P-Value

Start

The end

Low

High

Hospitalization

0

8/2020

15/2020

7

143.8

124.8

164.3

 < 0.001

1

15/2020

43/2020

28

-2.0

-3.0

-0.9

 < 0.001

2

43/2020

11/2021

21

6.3

4.5

8.0

 < 0.001

3

11/2021

51/2021

40

-7.6

-8.1

-7.0

 < 0.001

4

51/2021

3/2022

4

110.2

55.3

184.7

 < 0.001

5

3/2022

13/2022

10

-35.5

-38.5

-32.4

 < 0.001

Severitya

0

8/2020

10/2020

2

31.1

16.5

47.6

 < 0.001

1

10/2020

17/2020

7

-6.8

-8.6

-4.9

 < 0.001

2

17/2020

34/2020

17

1.0

0.5

1.4

 < 0.001

3

34/2020

20/2021

39

-0.2

-0.3

-0.1

0.001

4

20/2021

43/2021

23

0.9

0.6

1.2

 < 0.001

5

43/2021

13/2022

22

-1.6

-1.8

-1.3

 < 0.001

Case fatality rate

0

8/2020

16/2020

8

3.9

2.4

5.4

 < 0.001

1

16/2020

43/2020

27

-1.4

-1.7

-1.2

 < 0.001

2

43/2020

10/2021

20

1.4

1.0

1.8

 < 0.001

3

10/2021

39/2021

29

-0.9

-1.1

-0.7

 < 0.001

4

39/2021

9/2022

22

0.1

-0.3

0.4

0.655

5

9/2022

13/2022

4

-6.9

-10.7

-3.0

0.001

Mortality

0

8/2020

11/2020

3

30.7

-20.4

114.6

0.286

1

11/2020

14/2020

3

1271.0

408.7

3595.1

 < 0.001

2

14/2020

18/2021

57

1.9

1.3

2.5

 < 0.001

3

18/2021

52/2021

34

-8.1

-9.3

-6.9

 < 0.001

4

52/2021

5/2022

5

71.3

25.2

134.4

0.001

5

5/2022

13/2022

8

-29.9

-37.1

-21.9

 < 0.001

  1. aCovid-19 cases admitted to the ICU and/or who received invasive ventilatory support